Tuesday, September 16, 2008

How Not To Extract Value

Managed to win the minimum here. Surprised this guy checks behind a 5 on the river.

POKERSTARS GAME #20419426269: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.50/$1.00) - 2008/09/15 1:56:45 ET
Table 'Gehrels II' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: ralphd27 ($101 in chips)
Seat 2: limpdug ($40.55 in chips)
Seat 3: Bohlicious ($123.20 in chips)
Seat 4: kr1kke ($123.80 in chips)
Seat 5: C.M. Burns ($54 in chips)
Seat 6: Horse1966 ($101.45 in chips)
Seat 8: commonjo ($16.05 in chips)
Seat 9: Bigstud4 ($110.40 in chips)
C.M. Burns: posts small blind $0.50
Horse1966: posts big blind $1
Monoxide123: sits out
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Horse1966 [Qs 9h]
commonjo: calls $1
Bigstud4: folds
ralphd27: folds
limpdug: folds
Bohlicious: folds
kr1kke: folds
C.M. Burns: calls $0.50
Horse1966: checks
*** FLOP *** [5h 3h 5s]
C.M. Burns: checks
Horse1966: checks
commonjo: bets $1
C.M. Burns: folds
Horse1966: calls $1
*** TURN *** [5h 3h 5s] [Qh]
Horse1966: checks
commonjo: bets $3
Horse1966: calls $3
*** RIVER *** [5h 3h 5s Qh] [Qc]
Horse1966: checks
commonjo: checks
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Horse1966: shows [Qs 9h] (a full house, Queens full of Fives)
commonjo: mucks hand
Horse1966 collected $10.50 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $11 | Rake $0.50
Board [5h 3h 5s Qh Qc]
Seat 1: ralphd27 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: limpdug folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Bohlicious folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: kr1kke (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: C.M. Burns (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: Horse1966 (big blind) showed [Qs 9h] and won ($10.50) with a full house, Queens full of Fives
Seat 8: commonjo mucked [5d Ad]
Seat 9: Bigstud4 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

How do you like my out-of-position float here? If you're ever going to do such a thing, this seems like the right situation. It's a bone dry flop. I can have a 5, but he is unlikely to. He is likely to take a stab at the flop with any two cards, since it is just him and the blinds.

I hate betting rivers in this situation because the reversal of action (leading out when previously you have been checking and calling) looks so damn strong. My theory at this point was that he had a pocket pair, and it's hard to see him calling with that. On the other hand, he's surely not going to bet it either, so maybe my best chance is to go ahead and bet and hope to get a suspicious call. Yeah, that sounds right.

Saturday, September 13, 2008

I Am Awesome

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:
UTG chowesr ($47.00)
UTG+1 billysun ($55.50)
MP1 sump ($43.35)
MP2 LaJune ($98.50)
MP3 charliehalf ($53.50)
CO terps333 ($120.05)
BTN Hero ($107.60)
SB NYESQ ($38.70)
BB ON EMPTY ($100.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 9 players) Hero is BTN

6 folds, Hero raises to $3, NYESQ calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7, 2 players)
NYESQ checks, Hero bets $4, NYESQ calls $4

Turn: ($15, 2 players)
NYESQ goes all-in $31.70, Hero calls $31.70

River: ($78.40, 2 players)

Final Pot: $78.40
Hero shows:
NYESQ shows:

Hero wins $75.40 ( won +$36.70 )
NYESQ lost -$38.70


In other news, I have been playing online again and got my bankroll up over $1000 again. So I am now eligible to take another shot at $1/$2 if I want to. I may wait a little longer though.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

KK vs. AA

Ugh, just stacked off w/ KK vs. AA 100 BB deep (first hand at table!):

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:
UTG Subv ($112.30)
UTG+1 aconsuma ($100.00)
MP1 CuongDo ($142.35)
MP2 Euri37 ($60.00)
MP3 CGN-Shorty ($57.05)
CO Hero ($100.00)
BTN opah01 ($117.55)
SB margis ($52.50)
BB DuKé ($33.00)

[Hero posted $1]
Pre-flop: ($2.50, 9 players) Hero is CO

2 folds, CuongDo raises to $4, Euri37 calls $4, 1 fold, Hero raises to $15, 3 folds, CuongDo raises to $32, Euri37 folds, Hero calls $17

Flop: ($69.50, 2 players)
CuongDo checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($69.50, 2 players)
CuongDo bets $38, Hero goes all-in $68, CuongDo calls $30

River: ($205.50, 2 players)

Final Pot: $205.50
Hero shows:
CuongDo shows:

CuongDo wins $202.50 ( won +$102.50 )
Hero lost -$100.00
Euri37 lost -$4.00


I wonder if I can get away from this, and, if so, when. I just did the math, and it appears that at a 9-handed table when you have KK you can expect an opponent to have AA about 4% of the time. I'm not sure what that proves though. I guess just that you can't open shove with KK if you expect your opponents to play optimally against you.

I thought seriously about folding preflop to the 4-bet. It's a min 4-bet in fact. I wonder if this is a good fold at this level. I didn't have any stats on this particular opponent. I should probably fold the turn at least. QQ just caught up. I guess his slowplay (checking the flop and betting small on the turn) worked on me.

If I decide preflop that I'm willing to play for my stack, I'm pretty sure it's right to just call the 4-bet. AK only has 3 outs and QQ only has 2 outs and there's a quite reasonable chance he will get away from the hand preflop if I push. A lot of people will just stick it in in this spot, but I think that's clearly wrong.

Sunday, September 7, 2008

Playing Live At Cher-Ae

Haven't been playing at all, hence the lack of posts. I was up in Trinidad this past week, and played live two nights at the Cher-Ae Heights casino. It's 1-2 no-limit, with a $5 bring-in. I did well, booking a $300 win the first night and the $220 win the second night.

The very first hand of the first night, I limp (for $5) with AQ in the small blind. It's three or four handed to the flop ($15 or $20 in the pot), which is Qxx with two hearts. I lead for $10, an old guy raises to $25 or so in middle position and there is a cold call behind him by a guy who looks a bit like a beatnik (well, not really, but I need a label for him). It being the first hand of the night, I don't have any specific read on the raiser, but I generally have a healthy respect for raises from old guys at 1-2. The cold call is scary too, although it could just be a flush draw. I elect to call. Turn is the king of hearts which is probably the worst card in the deck for me. I check, old guy bets smallish (half pot perhaps), and the beatnik folds quickly (which puzzles me). I reluctantly fold. I felt very weak-tight at the time, but I felt better about it when the old guy didn't play another hand for two hours. I guess I put him on KQ or a set. I don't put him on the flush draw, because I don't think tight old guys like to semibluff. I talked to the beatnik at the end of the night and it turned out he had AQ as well.

Not much later, I limp in the blind with something like J9o. There were probably four or so players. Flop is something like AT8 with two hearts giving me an open-ender. I check call a half pot size bet from the beatnik making it heads-up to the turn. Not sure what I should be doing here. If I think my hand is worth calling with, maybe I should be leading? If I lead I expect to be called by a variety of hands, and I expect to give up most of the time. On the other hand, the same could be said for calling. I suppose there is some chance it checks through if I check. Anyhow, the turn is another ace, I check and he bets very small. He's giving me odds to draw, so I call. The river is the third heart. I don't put him on the flush draw - his turn bet is too small to be a bluff. So I lead out with a reasonable-size bet. It's a medium-size pot, but it's big enough that I think I can make a very scary flush-representing bet for substantially less than a pot-size bet. Unfortunately, he raised all-in and showed me the boat when I turbo-mucked. He congratulated me on a good fold (presuming I had the flush). Heh.

The big winning hand I remember from the first night was the following. I just called an early position raise with AA in middle position. I regretted my decision not to reraise when there ended up being four to the flop. The flop was a nice A44. I just called a smallish bet from the preflop raiser. The turn was a T and he checked to me. I bet smallish and he called. The river was another T and he check-called my all-in which was a moderate size bet. He had AQ. Not sure about the cold-call preflop, but the "slow play" post-flop (i.e., not raising the flop bet) is clearly correct. The stacks were short enough that I could get all the money in without a raise at any point.

There was another hand where I raised with KK and got a caller or two. I led the Q high flop with two of a suit and beatnik raised small. I called. Heads up to the turn which completes the flush draw. I decide to represent the flush and lead out with a medium-size bet. I guess this is good if I decide that I'm calling a bet if I check. He calls pretty quickly. On the river I think for a long time and check. He checks behind quickly, shows JJ, and MHIG. I think the long pause before checking is good. It looks like I'm thinking about whether a weak flush or a set is strong enough to bet. A quick check looks a lot weaker, and invites a bet that I cannot call.

On the second night, I got KK on my first and second hand. I raise preflop and get some callers. The flop is undercards with two of a suit. I bet (probably close to pot - don't really remember) and get one caller (I have position on him). The turn completes the flush draw and he leads out all-in for pot-size or maybe more. I think and call. The fact that he bets so big makes it look bluffy to me. People who make their flushes at this level typically bet small to get action. Also his age, physical appearance and behavior made me think he could be somewhat aggressive. Not to mention the fact that he was somewhat shortstacked at this point. Anyhow, he had T9 and my hand held up. (He might have held one of the flush suit, not sure.)

Shortly after I got KK again, raised and was called. A shortstack check-called my all-in on a low board with 99. In another not very interesting hand, I re-re-raised all-in to $120 or so with AK and won the race against QQ. Not sure if this is good. His reraising range could be as strong as AA-QQ. I wonder how I do if it's AA-JJ,AK. In the most favorable (to me) analysis, I could assume he folds JJ and AK. I should Pokerstove this.

I also made some bluffs that turned out badly. In one hand I bluff check-raised a board with two kings. My opponent had trip kings and made the call. I wonder how often he has trip kings as the action went down. (He checked the king high flop, bet the king on the turn and bet again on the river.) Probably pretty often.

In another hand, I called a reraise from a tight player with 66. We were deep-stacked; his remaining stack was about 10x the bet to me (plus there was some dead money in the pot and/or possible additional callers). I didn't set up on the flop, but called a bet under the new revised theory that he might have AK. He fired again big on the turn and I had to give up (he showed KK). I think the right action is to fold preflop. Not clear if my call preflop was good. This guy seemed to lay down good hands fairly often. It's not obvious he would have stacked off with his KK.

In another hand, I raised preflop with AT and was called from the blinds. I bet medium size on the T55 flop and was called. My opponent led out big on the blank turn. I didn't know what to make of the oversize bet, but I didn't think I could let go off TPTK based on one call and one bet. He'd been pretty active so I thought he could be bluffing. The river was another 5 and he led out again for two or three hundred dollars all-in which was pretty much the largest bet of the night. I thought about it before folding, but I'm not sure I needed to - this should be an easy fold. He showed KK afterwards.