Main Event Hand #1

PokerNews reporting

I think I should fold this even though I have an overpair and there has not been much action. By the river I am behind all flush draws, all hands with a 5, all hands with a 4, TT, JJ and various other less likely hands. Hands I beat like 88, 77, A6 and 76 would typically not bet this river. Phil is pretty nitty and unlikely to be bluffing in general. Moreover, this line in particular is unlikely to be a bluff.

The mistake I made was a) not thinking it through logically; not enumerating the likely hands he could have and how he would play them; and instead b) relying more on my "gut" which said that I can't fold an overpair to this little action.