Another Decent Day

Nothing earth shattering, but up another $250 today. Ran very well - lots of sets.

In theory, I have enough to move up to the next level, using the 500 BB rule I initially adopted. (I'm at $2450 or so now.) But I think what I really want to do is prove I can be a winner at one level before moving up to the next. Right now I only have 3,500 hands at $1/$2 which doesn't prove anything. I think I'll wait for at least 10,000 hands. If I run at 4 PTBB/100, I should be around $3000 by then - that can be my dollar target. That may be an unrealistic win rate, though. Some databases seem to show the best regulars to be running only at 2.5 PTBB/100 or so (actually that's at higher levels, but still). I guess that just goes to show how hot I am running the last few days. Better not let it go to my head.

10,000 hands still won't prove anything, of course, but I hope I can at least develop an intuitive sense of how I measure up by then. After 10,000 hands at $0.50/$1, I definitely felt I could tell I was a winner. Could be an illusion, I suppose.

The other disturbing thing is that even at $1/$2, the tables are at least half full, sometimes 75% full, of decent tight regulars. Keep in mind I only play at night too. This is surely only going to get worse at $2/$4. All the regulars on 2+2 like to complain about shortstackers killing the games, but, really, the thing that is killing (or at least hurting) the games as far as I am concerned is 24-tabling nitty regulars.

OK so the plan is: at least 10,000 hands at $1/$2 and at least $3000 before moving up. And maybe more, depending on comfort level.