I had a history with this guy. I had 3-bet his button raise earlier with air and he 4-bet me forcing me to lay it down. So I didn't give him credit for a big hand preflop (correctly, as it turned out). Also, he had a 40% VPIP.
On the flop, it seemed like what I had was a medium strength hand so I should check-call. With his aggression in the earlier hand (and his high VPIP), I figured there was a decent chance he would bluff a weaker hand. Not sure that's really true though. Who bluffs a three-bettor on a king high flop? Not even most maniacs.
On the turn, somehow I convinced myself that if he had a real hand he would play it slower to extract maximum value. Dumb. I think his thought process was actually "OMG - I have two pair!".
This hand is certainly easier to play if I lead out and then shut down if called or raised. I lose the value I get from him bluffing, but frankly that was never very likely. Bleh.
$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
9 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
| UTG | ($105.35) | ||
| UTG+1 | ($98.50) | ||
| MP1 | ($127.25) | ||
| MP2 | ($79.50) | ||
| MP3 | ($104.50) | ||
| CO | ($91.15) | ||
| BTN | ($88.90) | ||
| SB | ($244.75) | ||
| Hero | ($117.50) |
Pre-flop: ($1.5, 9 players) Hero is BB
6 folds, BTN raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero raises to $9, BTN calls $6
Flop:
($18.5, 2 players)Hero checks, BTN bets $14, Hero calls $14
Turn:
($46.5, 2 players)Hero checks, BTN goes all-in $65.9, Hero calls $65.9
River:
($178.3, 2 players)Final Pot: $178.30
BTN shows:
Hero shows:
BTN wins $175.3 ( won +$86.4 )
Hero lost -$88.90
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