A Questionable Laydown

As it turned out, he had QQ, so it would have been good to call. But his range is probably AA-QQ,AK. According to my calculations, AK has 40% equity against that range. Since I had to call $12 for a chance to win $28, in theory I have the proper odds. However, my hand has reverse implied odds. I am in danger of losing a lot if an ace or king flops and my opponent has AA or KK. I am unlikely to win much if an ace or king flops and he has QQ. Maybe I can get one c-bet out of him. He can also set up against me with a lower pair on an ace or king high flop.

Probably the way I would play it would be to fold any flop which doesn't have an ace or a king on it. If an ace or king comes, and he bets into me twice very sizeably, then I fold to the second bet. If his bet size is half-pot or so, especially if it is smaller on the turn than the flop, then I may call a second bet. Not sure about a third.

Playing it this way, it seems like I am not going to turn a profit, in part because he will bluff me off many hands where we are chopping because we both have AK. So maybe I need to float a weakish bet on the flop if I miss? This also offers the opportunity to steal the pot from a chopping AK.

I don't know, despite the apparent logic in this, I just don't have the cojones to play it this way. Maybe part of the reason is that I feel he doesn't always reraise AK here preflop. So his range may be skewed towards AA-QQ, and even QQ he may not reraise sometimes.

As an aside, look how insane the cutoff was in this hand. I'm not sure which is more atrocious, the preflop call or the flop call.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at weaktight.com


Stacks:

UTG		($68.70)
UTG+1		($95.20)
MP1		($46.50)
Hero		($134.40)
CO		($40.05)
BTN		($20.10)
SB		($92.05)
BB		($100.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.5, 8 players) Hero is MP2

3 folds, Hero raises to $4, CO calls $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.5, BB raises to $16, Hero folds, CO calls $12, SB calls $12

Flop: ($52, 3 players)
SB checks, BB bets $30, CO goes all-in $24.05, SB folds

Turn: ($100.1, 2 players)

River: ($100.1, 2 players)

Final Pot: $100.10
BB shows:
CO shows:

BB wins $5.95 ( lost -$40.05 )
CO wins $97.1 ( won +$57.05 )
SB lost -$16.00
Hero lost -$4.00